README.md

PolnPy

We will try to update this README file from time to time during the GameOfCode hackathon

The idea: Get pollen historical data in Luxembourg and make pollen concentration predictions

SWATEC (Scrape, Wrangle, Analyze, Train and then, Expose, Consume)

Scrape

What:

• Scrape data as neither API nor data set available

Data sources:

• pollen.lu, 26+ years of data (since Jan 1, 1992)
• wunderground.com, almost 22 years of data (since Jul 1, 1996)

Libraries used:

• Scrapy https://scrapy.org/

scrapy crawl pol_arch -o pol.csv

scrapy crawl wus -o wu.csv

Wrangle

What:

• Cleanse
• Sort
• Join

Libraries used

• NumPy http://www.numpy.org/
• Pandas https://pandas.pydata.org/

Move the files from previous step in this directory and...

python sort_bydate.py -in pol.csv -out pol_sorted.csv

python sort_bydate.py -in wu.csv -out wu_sorted.csv

python join_plus_pol_wu -pol pol_sorted.csv -wu wu_sorted.csv -out pol_wu.csv

Analyze

What:

• Discover and visualize data
• Try to identify some correlations
• Conclusion, it is very much a time series case (good candidate for Random Forest Regressor, FB Prophet, LSTM)

Libraries used:

• Pandas https://pandas.pydata.org/
• Matplotlib https://matplotlib.org/

jupyter notebook PolnPyAnalysis.ipynb and run all cells

Train

What:

Train and test a couple of models

• Random Forest Regressor, pretty interesting result!
• Prophet, good result but the range between lower estimate and higher estimate is quite large
• LSTM, best result, our production is running on that model

Libraries used:

• Pandas https://pandas.pydata.org/
• Scikit Learn http://scikit-learn.org
• Prophet https://facebook.github.io/prophet/
• TensorFlow https://www.tensorflow.org/
• Keras https://keras.io/

jupyter notebook PolnPyRandomForest.ipynb and run through all steps

[Dirty solution to be refactored...]

The same day forecast (weather_today.csv), the model (RFR_model.sav) and the consume_model.py script was tested in the backend

jupyter notebook PolnPyProphet.ipynb and run through all steps to see the results

jupyter notebook PolnPyLSTM.ipynb and run through all steps

[Dirty solution to be refactored...]

The same day forecast (weather_today_for_LSTN.csv), the model (LSTM_model.h5), the model json (model.json) and the consume_LSTM_model.py script will be used by the backend

Expose

What:

2 Restful API endpoints:

• One to get historical data (all pollen types since 1996)
• One to make predictions for same day and next day (only ambrosia, betula and graminea)
• And just a small helper to get the list of supported pollens

Docker

Symphony

Redis

MongoDB

Consume

What:

Front end

...